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Percikan pikiran seorang ekonom.

Population Dynamics and Environmental Sustainability

Aris   Ananta

5  April  2013

 

Concluding Remarks

The environmental impact of population dynamics is not only from the number of population, but also, and more importantly,  from quality of the population,  per capita consumption, and technology (including behaviour). If we insist to reduce the negative environmental impact of the number of population, then we should concentrate on the reduction of the number of population among those with the highest per capita consumption. Should we promote further reduction in fertility among those who do not have environmentally friendly consumption?

Otherwise, we can also change their behaviour. If their consumption is not environmentally friendly, then they should be the first target to change their behaviour.  This change in behaviour will motivate business to produce environmentally friendly goods and services. Then a continuing large number of population with rising human capital will become an important asset for the creation of environmental sustainability.

Family planning programmes should be strengthened with right-based approach, rather than as a means to speed up fertility decline and, then reduction in population growth rate.

Finally, to make an effective development programme, demographic information will help policy makers to know  the future number and sex-age-education  composition as well as spatial distribution of the people. Population is both the consumers and producers in development programmes (including those on environmental sustainability) and we therefore  should know their size, age-sex-education composition, spatial distribution and how they change over time.

 

To read the full note, please read Population Dynamics and Environmental Sustainability

 

Filed under: ageing, Demography, economy, English, statistics, , , , , , ,

6 Responses

  1. sri sunarti says:

    salam kenal Pak Aris, sebagai calon geriatrician, sungguh saya mencari teman untuk share dan memberi saya lebih ilmu dari perspektif yang lain, di luar medis yang saya pelajari menyangkut lansia. mohon diterima perkenalan saya, hormat saya.

  2. abdurrahman says:

    Prof Aris… saya Abdurrahman mahasiswa s2kk yang kemaren ikut kuliah umum prof. Kebetulan topik tesis saya tentang dampak dinamika penduduk terhadap emisi CO2. Boleh kah saya nanti berdiskusi tentang topik tersebut?. Saat ini saya sedang mempersiapkah seminar hasil.

    • mletiko says:

      Pak Abdurrahmam,

      Topik yang bagus sekali. Belum banyak yang mencoba mengaitkan dinamika kependudukan dengan emisi CO2 dan emisi lainnya.
      Ini hutan yang nyaris belum terjamah. Banyak tantangannya, dan topik ini akan menarik sekali. Suka menggunakan model statistik/ ekonometrika?

      Saya tunggu Bapak dalam diskusi ini.

      Salam,

      Aris

      • Abdurrahman says:

        Prof Aris yang saya hormati…
        Terima kasih yang sebesarnya atas respon yang diberikan. Iya benar pak saya memang suka menggunakan model statistik. kebetulan basic saya dari STIS. Permasalahannya adalah saya belum pernah mengolah data panel dan menganalisisnya. Mohon diberikan petunjuk bagaimana cara menganalisis data panel dan pemilihan model statistik yang tepat. Terima kasih sekali lagi.

        Hormat saya,
        Abdurrahman

      • mletiko says:

        Pak Abdurrahman,

        Memang topik amat penting, tetapi juga amat langka.

        Mungkin harus mencari buku analisis regresi yang baik, atau mengambil mata kuliah mengenai analisis regresi. Masalah selanjutnya adalah ketersediaan data. Jumlah observasi mungkin belum banyak.

        Salam,

        Aris

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